Prediction of Aziz Ouakaa vs Ben Jones at Manama 2 Challenger 11-24-25

• Second Serve Performance: Aziz Ouakaa has a lower success rate, winning 42.36% of second-serve points, whereas Ben Jones has an edge with 49.65%. How crucial is this stat? It strongly indicates Ben Jones's potential advantage.
• Return Game: Aziz Ouakaa has a better track record, securing 47.58% of points on opponents' second serves compared to Ben Jones's 42.32%.
• First Serve Returns: Aziz also leads with 32.01%, surpassing Ben's 24.05%, suggesting a stronger return game.
• Breakpoints Under Pressure: Ben has demonstrated resilience, saving 57.63% of breakpoints to Aziz's 49.87%, a potential decisive factor.
• Overall Win Percentage: Aziz leads with a winning percentage of 51.28% over the last year, compared to Ben's 41.67%.
• Preferred Surface: Aziz excels on Hard courts (43%), while Ben performs best on I.hard (43%).
• Tournament Level: Aziz and Ben mainly compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, with Aziz having a slight advantage in match wins.
• Quality of Opponents: Aziz has faced slightly stronger opponents, with an average rank of 409.87 versus Ben's 415.98.
• Deciding Set Performance: Aziz holds a minor edge, winning 59% of deciding sets against Ben's 56%.

Editorial Prediction (November 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Aziz Ouakaa and Ben Jones presents intriguing dynamics. Looking at second-serve performance, Ben Jones shows an advantage, which might offer him an edge during rallies dependent on service games.

However, Aziz Ouakaa's superior return statistics, particularly on the first serve, hint at possible breaks of Ben's serve. Aziz's capability in return games can turn matches, especially against players less robust in serve technicalities.

Considering their performance under pressure, Ben's higher breakpoint save percentage suggests resilience during crucial game moments, which might be beneficial if the match heads into tight situations.

Aziz Ouakaa's higher overall win percentage and stronger performance in deciding sets contribute to a solid profile favoring him in closely-knit and extended contests. Furthermore, his experience against slightly higher-ranked opponents might provide fortitude under pressure.

While Ben has strengths in key areas, the balance tilts towards Aziz Ouakaa given his strong returns and consistent match-winning ability. Therefore, Aziz Ouakaa is most likely to emerge victorious in this anticipated encounter.